📊 Introduction — Stock’s Previous Peak & Drawdown Analysis (DSE)

The Stock’s Previous Peak and Drawdown – DSE dashboard is a professional Bangladesh stock market risk analysis tool designed to help investors understand how much a DSE-listed stock has fallen from its historical highs and how well it recovers over time. By tracking previous peak values, percentage drawdowns, recovery behavior, and relative performance against the DSEX Index, this tool provides a clear view of downside risk, volatility, and capital preservation in the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

In volatile emerging markets like Bangladesh, price returns alone are not enough. Two stocks may deliver similar returns, yet one may experience significantly deeper drawdowns. This dashboard highlights those hidden risks by quantifying maximum drawdown, peak-to-trough declines, stress periods, and recovery strength, making it especially valuable for risk-aware investors, swing traders, and portfolio managers.

The tool supports analysis across all major DSE sectors, including Banking & Financial Institutions (BRAC Bank, City Bank, Eastern Bank), Pharmaceuticals & Chemicals (Square Pharmaceuticals, ACI, Beximco Pharma), Telecommunication (Grameenphone, Robi Axiata), Consumer & FMCG (BATBC, Marico Bangladesh, Berger Paints), Fuel & Power, Textile, Engineering, and IT stocks. This sector-wide coverage improves comparative risk assessment and helps investors identify resilient stocks during market corrections.

Using Python-based quantitative models, the system applies the high-watermark method to calculate drawdowns and visually maps previous peaks, correction depth, and recovery cycles. All results are benchmarked against the DSEX Index, enabling investors to determine whether a stock’s decline is company-specific or driven by broader market stress.

Whether you are assessing long-term capital protection, planning entry and exit points, or studying historical market shocks in Bangladesh, this DSE Previous Peak & Drawdown Analysis Dashboard transforms raw price data into actionable risk intelligence—an essential component of modern, data-driven investing.

Importance of This Analysis:
Understanding previous peaks and drawdowns is crucial for smart investing. This analysis helps you:

  • Identify the highest value your investment reached
  • Measure current performance against historical peaks
  • Understand maximum losses from peaks (drawdowns)
  • Compare stock performance with DSEX index
  • Make informed decisions based on historical resilience

How to Use:

  1. Select Trading Code – Choose any company from the dropdown
  2. Set Date Range – Pick your analysis period (default: last 90 days)
  3. Choose Analysis Type:
    • Previous Peak Analysis: Shows highest values and current drawdowns
    • Draw Down Analysis: Detailed decline patterns and recovery periods
  4. View Results: Get comprehensive reports with charts and metrics

How to Interpret the Graphs

Previous Peak Graph: Shows historical highs and indicates potential resistance levels.

Drawdown Graph: Helps identify the maximum percentage fall and recovery behavior.

  • 0–10% drawdown: Healthy and normal.
  • 10–25% drawdown: Moderate risk.
  • 25%+ drawdown: High volatility period.

Perfect For:

  • Investors evaluating stock resilience
  • Traders identifying entry/exit points
  • Analysts comparing stock vs market performance
  • Students learning technical analysis

Methodology & Data Sources

Shock events include: negative returns, extreme drops, relative strength failures, and stress-day declines

Price data collected using Python from the Dhaka Stock Exchange Website.

Metrics calculated using pandas, numpy, and custom quant models

Market comparison benchmark: DSEX Index

Dataset refreshed daily after the BD market close

📘 Frequently Asked Questions — Peak & Drawdown Analysis

📊 What is “Previous Peak & Drawdown Analysis”?
This analysis measures how far a stock has fallen from its highest point (peak) within a selected timeframe. It helps investors understand risk, volatility, recovery strength, and how a stock performs compared to the DSEX index.
📉 Why is drawdown important for investors?
Drawdown reveals the maximum decline in price from a peak.

• 0–10% → Healthy • 10–25% → Moderate risk • 25%+ → High volatility

Understanding drawdowns helps you set stop-loss levels, detect stress periods, and manage portfolio risk more effectively.
📅 How often is the data updated?
All data is refreshed automatically every day after the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) market closes. Calculations are performed using Python, pandas, and custom quantitative models.
📈 What does the Previous Peak Graph show?
The graph highlights historical highs for the stock and shows how close the current price is to previous resistance levels. It helps identify potential reversal or breakout zones.
🔍 How do I interpret the Drawdown Graph?
The Drawdown Graph visualizes every drop from the previous peak across time. It helps identify: • Deep corrections • Stress points • Recovery patterns • Market vs stock divergence
⚙️ What methodology is used for calculating drawdowns?
Drawdowns are computed using the high-watermark method. Price data is collected from DSE and analyzed using Python libraries such as pandas, numpy, and custom quant research models. Comparisons are also made with the DSEX index.
💡 Who can benefit from this tool?
This tool is highly beneficial for: • Investors analyzing stock resilience • Traders planning entry/exit points • Market analysts assessing volatility cycles • Students learning portfolio risk concepts
🧮 Does the tool compare individual stocks with the DSEX index?
Yes, each stock’s drawdown trajectory is benchmarked against the DSEX index to help identify whether the stock is underperforming or outperforming the broader Bangladeshi market.

Author:
Md. Kollol Hossain
Quantitative Market Analyst & Founder – CapitalInsightBD


বাংলা সংস্করণ (Bangla Version)

📊 পূর্ববর্তী শীর্ষবিন্দু ও ড্রডাউন বিশ্লেষণ টুল

এই বিশ্লেষণের গুরুত্ব:
পূর্ববর্তী শীর্ষবিন্দু এবং ড্রডাউন বোঝা বিনিয়োগের জন্য অত্যন্ত গুরুত্বপূর্ণ। এই বিশ্লেষণ আপনাকে সাহায্য করে:

  • আপনার বিনিয়োগের সর্বোচ্চ মান চিহ্নিত করতে
  • ঐতিহাসিক শীর্ষবিন্দুর বিপরীতে বর্তমান কার্যকারিতা পরিমাপ করতে
  • শীর্ষবিন্দু থেকে সর্বোচ্চ ক্ষতি (ড্রডাউন) বুঝতে
  • ডিএসইএক্স সূচকের সাথে স্টকের কার্যকারিতা তুলনা করতে
  • ঐতিহাসিক স্থিতিস্থাপকতার ভিত্তিতে সচেতন সিদ্ধান্ত নিতে

ব্যবহার পদ্ধতি:
১. ট্রেডিং কোড নির্বাচন – ড্রপডাউন থেকে যেকোনো কোম্পানি নির্বাচন করুন
২. তারিখ সীমা নির্ধারণ – আপনার বিশ্লেষণ সময়সীমা নির্বাচন করুন (ডিফল্ট: শেষ ৯০ দিন)
৩. বিশ্লেষণের ধরন নির্বাচন:

  • পূর্ববর্তী শীর্ষবিন্দু বিশ্লেষণ: সর্বোচ্চ মান এবং বর্তমান ড্রডাউন দেখায়
  • ড্রডাউন বিশ্লেষণ: বিস্তারিত পতনের ধরণ এবং পুনরুদ্ধারের সময়সীমা দেখায়
    ৪. ফলাফল দেখুন: চার্ট এবং মেট্রিক্স সহ বিস্তারিত রিপোর্ট পান

যাদের জন্য উপযোগী:

  • স্টকের স্থিতিস্থাপকতা মূল্যায়নকারী বিনিয়োগকারী
  • এন্ট্রি/এক্সিট পয়েন্ট চিহ্নিতকারী ট্রেডার
  • স্টক বনাম বাজার কার্যকারিতা তুলনাকারী বিশ্লেষক
  • প্রযুক্তিগত বিশ্লেষণ শিখছেন এমন শিক্ষার্থী

Stock’s Returns and Wealth Index-DSE

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 DSE Stocks’ Fundamental Analysis Dashboard

DSE Stocks’ Performance Analysis Dashboard

Buy, Hold, and Sell Strategy

DSE Stocks near 52-week high



⚠️ Important Disclaimer

Risk Warning: All investment analysis, market commentary, and trading ideas provided on this website are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or solicitations to buy or sell any securities.

Stock market investments are subject to market risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You should consult with qualified financial advisors and conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. The authors and website owners are not responsible for any financial losses resulting from actions taken based on the information provided.

Remember: Never invest more than you can afford to lose.